The newsroom provides news, data, analysis and case studies about the Department.

Media enquiries

8:30 am to 5:30 pm Monday to Friday

A view of university graduates wearing caps and gowns, taken from above so you mostly see the caps

Future jobs growth to favour skilled workers

This story was first published on 16 October 2018. If you wish to use this content, please contact to confirm that the information is still current.

Employment projections indicate that over 90% of new jobs over the next five years will require post-school education.

Employment projections indicate that over 90% of new jobs over the next five years will require post-school education.

The Department of Jobs and Small Business projects that total employment will increase by 886,100 (7.1%) over the five years to May 2023. A long-term structural shift towards professional and service jobs indicates there will be strong demand for applicants with either tertiary or vocational education and training qualifications.

The broad occupation groups projected to have the largest employment increases over this period are:

  • Professionals – increasing by 325,800 (10.9%)
  • Community and Personal Service Workers – increasing by 230,300 (17.5%)

Projected employment growth is strongest for occupations requiring a bachelor degree or higher, increasing by 400,600 or 10%. This is a 45.2% share of the projected employment growth.

Skill level 4 occupations (Certificate II, III or equivalent) are projected to increase by 256,900 or 7.9%. This accounts for 29% of projected employment growth.

Four of the six occupations projected to have the largest increase in employment are Skill level 4 occupations:

  • Aged and Disabled Carers, up 69,200 (39.3%)
  • Child Carers, up 27,600 (17.6%)
  • Waiters, up 21,800 (15.8%)
  • Education Aides, up 18,800 (20.9%).

Labour market analyst Ivan Neville said the projections provide insights into how Australian jobs are changing.

‘We are seeing the strongest employment growth in quite traditional service roles - an ageing population, the NDIS and increased demand for childcare is driving growth for carers across the board.

‘We will see some negative impacts resulting from administration tasks increasingly being automated; the fall in projected growth for Clerical and Administrative workers reflects that.’

Jobs for Clerical and Administrative Workers are expected to fall by 4,200 or 0.3% over the next five years.

‘However, overall we’ll see robust employment growth,’ Ivan said.

’These projections – and other useful labour market information on Job Outlook – can help those considering employment options to plan their career pathway.’

Explore the projections further on the Labour Market Information Portal.

Correct at time of publication

Last modified on Thursday 9 January 2020 [8791|123423]